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Three Stubborn Things: Cuban Rap, Russia in the Arctic, and Vaccine Hesitancy

Ambassador Mark Green
The Arctic Ocean - September 27, 2011: Russian nuclear-powered icebreaker Rossiya (Russia) is seen during its trip to the Russian drift station
The Arctic Ocean - September 27, 2011: Russian nuclear-powered icebreaker Rossiya (Russia) is seen during its trip to the Russian drift station

As Founding Father John Adams said two and a half centuries ago, 鈥渇acts are stubborn things.鈥 Our task is to identify and elevate those stubborn things.

Here are three鈥

1. Efforts by Havana鈥檚 communist government to dismiss, and then taint a created by a group of young Cuban artists are failing. Their video, which openly ridicules a longstanding Fidel Castro slogan, has amassed nearly 5 million views on YouTube since February.

鈥淧atria o Muerte鈥 (Fatherland or Death) was a slogan Fidel Castro turned to over and over again to build patriotism and national unity in the face of economic hardship and restrictions on individual liberty. It was trumpeted continuously over the years, even as hundreds of thousands watched friends, family and neighbors desperately try to escape the island for a better life in the U.S. or elsewhere. Use of this slogan continued even as the 鈥淟adies in White鈥 dutifully and peacefully marched every Sunday to protest politically motivated detention of family members in Castro鈥檚 prisons. 聽

Last year, a loose-knit group of young Cuban artists鈥攎any of them Afro-Cubans鈥攍aunched what became known as the 鈥淪an Isidro鈥 movement. San Isidro openly protests censorship laws on the island, as well as the poverty which so many Cubans are experiencing. These artists have been met with harassment, arrests, and beatings.

Early in 2021, a group of young artists in Miami and Havana collaborated to create a rap song which boldly states, 鈥淟et us no longer shout 鈥榩atria o muerte鈥 (Castro鈥檚 slogan), but 鈥榩atria y vida鈥 (homeland and life).鈥 The song confronts the regime in a way not seen in years, proclaiming, 鈥淚t鈥檚 over now! And we鈥檙e not afraid, the deceit is over.鈥

The regime responded by resurrecting performances of songs featuring the Castro slogan, but none of them has captured anywhere near the attention鈥攐r audience numbers鈥攐f 鈥淧atria y Vida.鈥

2. Russia has announced plans for a new fleet of ships explicitly dedicated to the Arctic region, including more than a dozen icebreakers. Russia is currently the only country in the world building nuclear-powered icebreakers.

For most Americans, the Arctic has long been out of sight and out of mind. Yet analysts believe that one-quarter of the world鈥檚 undiscovered oil and gas reserves may be found in the Arctic鈥攗ntapped petroleum and mineral resources that could approach $35 trillion in value. Four of the world鈥檚 10 major fisheries also are located in the Arctic. And experts are concerned that the melting Arctic icecap will create significant environmental concerns and impact the maritime interests of many nations鈥攊ncluding the United States.

Russia, on the other hand, has long seen the region as vital to its economic and strategic interests. After all, 20 percent of Russia鈥檚 exports and 10 percent of its GDP come from the Arctic. Half of the Arctic coastline is Russian territory, as is half of the region鈥檚 population.

Since oil and gas are responsible for roughly 60 percent of Russia鈥檚 export revenues and 30 percent of its national budget at a time when the Russian economy is struggling, it would be a surprise if President Putin 飞别谤别苍鈥檛 eyeing the region as medicine for his country鈥檚 economic woes. And as if to put an exclamation mark on this mission to lock in Russia鈥檚 Arctic economic interests, Putin announced $300 billion in new oil and gas incentives there last year.

Moscow is also building up its military assets in the region鈥攂oth conventional and nuclear. In March 聽2021, Putin boasted of the prowess of his military leaders in executing an exercise in which three nuclear submarines broke through the ice as Russian fighters flew simultaneously over the North Pole. Russia has placed numerous bombers, fighters, and radar systems in the Arctic, and Western media has reported accounts of Russian forces jamming GPS signals for air traffic off the Norwegian coast and targeting NATO assets with simulated weapon use.

In 1935, Gen. Billy Mitchell testified before Congress that 鈥淎laska is the most strategic place on Earth.鈥 An updated version of that statement would say the entire Arctic region is now that place鈥攆or economic and environmental reasons, as well as national security.

3. According to a , over 40 percent of Republicans say they will likely never get the COVID-19 vaccine.

Broad vaccine hesitancy persists, even though former Presidents Carter, Clinton, Bush, Obama, and Trump have all been vaccinated. As George W. Bush put it simply in a recent video: 鈥淩oll up your sleeve and do your part.鈥

Republican lawmakers who are also doctors have added their voices to the vaccine campaign. asking all Americans to get vaccinated so 鈥渨e can live life as free as before.鈥 They referred to the vaccines as a 鈥渃lear path to the eradication of the pandemic.鈥澛

On May 4, President Biden told Americans, 鈥淚 want to be absolutely clear: You do need to get vaccinated. Getting vaccinated not only protects you, it also reduces the risk that you give the virus to somebody else. It could save your life or the lives of people you love.鈥

National lawmakers from both sides of the aisle, as well as medical professionals from every corner of the land, support the vaccine campaign. But according to a national poll conducted by Monmouth University in early April, not everyone is listening. One out of five Americans surveyed said they were unlikely to get the vaccine. Strikingly, 43 percent of Republicans said they were unlikely to be vaccinated compared to 5 percent of identified Democrats who said the same thing.

Yet there are millions of people in India, Brazil, and elsewhere who are desperately seeking vaccines鈥ithout much success.

About the Author

Ambassador Mark Green

Ambassador Mark A. Green

President & CEO, Wilson Center
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