澳门六合彩

Does Yemen have a future beyond the violent civil strife; intervention by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iran; and the famine and disease that have plagued the country in recent years? What are the prospects for UN-mediated talks? And what is an appropriate U.S. policy toward the conflict?聽Three experienced observers of Yemen addressed these and related questions in a wide-ranging discussion on the country鈥檚 future.聽聽Selected Quotes

Jane Harman

鈥淭he conflict is the largest humanitarian crisis on the planet鈥� Some of the competitors might be Syria, the ethnic cleansing in Myanmar, and the dire consequences of accelerating climate change. That鈥檚 pretty serious competition. But, I think, sadly, and really, catastrophically, Yemen is leading.鈥澛犫�淭he action by Congress was time-limited, but attention is now being paid to the issue. As a former member there, I鈥檓 really pleased to see that the Article-One branch of government鈥� is paying attention.鈥�

Aaron David Miller

鈥淚f there ever was a perfect storm of disasters and horrors, even by Middle East standards, it is clearly Yemen.鈥澛犅犫�淚t鈥檚 significant that one of the few issues that could have driven a bipartisan community of interests in the U.S. Senate in this era of partisanship has been Khashoggi鈥檚 murder and Yemen.鈥�

Robert Worth

鈥淲hen you talk, for instance, as I did, to members of the Southern Transitional Council, there鈥檚 this rhetoric of, 鈥極h, everything鈥檚 going to be fine once the war is over and we declare a separate South Yemen.鈥� But anyone who has spent any time in Yemen knows that鈥檚 not true. Under the surface, there are many, many different groups, many agendas, and a feeling of impending danger.鈥澛犫�淥nce has a sense that, with the Houthis, as, to some extent, with Iran, the people who are the smiling face of the regime are the ones who don鈥檛 make the decisions, and that the guys who do are the clerical and military hardliners who are pretty inscrutable from the outside. I think that鈥檚 been one of the difficulties of gaming where these negotiations are going to go and whether we鈥檙e going to get to a real peace.鈥澛犫�淚 got the sense that [the Houthis] know that this war has, in some ways, helped them. It has allowed them to continue to pose as the victim and has prevented some of the discontent that might otherwise boil up.鈥澛犅�Dafna Hochman Rand聽鈥淭he proportion of airstrikes hitting civilian targets has increased a bit over time. This fall, on average, 65% of some of the airstrikes were hitting civilian sites鈥� including water infrastructure.鈥澛犅犫�淭here is food in the marketplace. You imagine a famine and you imagine a supermarket that鈥檚 bare. That鈥檚 not what Yemen looks like. There is food on the shelves, but there is very, very little economic purchasing power鈥� People basically have no money.鈥澛犫�淚n as much as last week was an important milestone, because it was the passage in the U.S. Congress of very important legislation signaling Congressional position on U.S. involvement in the war, the next step is a more detailed legislative vehicle, in January and beyond, that would continue, through more scalpel approach, to put pressure on the coalition, first and foremost 鈥� to the continue the pressure even after Sweden.鈥澛�Stephen Pomper聽鈥淭he fight for [Hodeidah] would be urban warfare at its most nightmarish. It would involve huge destruction of infrastructure, it would involve the ills that follow from that 鈥� dirty water disease, et cetera. The humanitarian costs would be astronomical. It might very well not vanquish the Houthis, and if it did vanquish them, if probably would not, at least in our view, deal the knockout blow that the coalition wants to believe.鈥澛犫�淓ven of these [Sweden] agreements are just about, I don鈥檛 know, 40% of what the [UN] special envoy was aiming for, it鈥檚 hard not to see the meetings as successful. For one thing, that they happened at all was no small feat鈥� More importantly, if they had to hit one issue of the suite that were on the special envoy鈥檚 list, I think they probably hit the right one.鈥澛犫�淐ongress has an enormously important role to play. I really wonder if Secretary of Defense Mattis would have been making those phone calls [to Saudi and Emirati officials] if Congress hadn鈥檛 signaled loud and clear that it was going to be taking action that really would have been unheard of, I think, even a year ago, weighing in on what has been a key strategic alliance for the United States, and, frankly, asserting itself in war powers frame in a way that is very unusual and, from my perspective, quite welcome.鈥澛�