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Tunisia and the Decline of Political Islam

Yochai
Rached Ghannouchi 2022
Ennahda leader Rached Ghannouchi

The two rival faces of political Islam gained ground in Tunisia after the 2011 Arab Uprising, which ended autocratic rule. A transition government granted amnesty to leaders of Islamist movements—both militant and non-violent—and allowed them to openly preach or gain legal status as a party. Ennahda grew into one of the most powerful political parties, while three different jihadi groups employed violent tactics to derail the government and mobilize support for Islamic rule.

Tensions between the rivals was reflected in 2013, when al Qaeda in the Lands of the Islamic Maghreb Ennahda. “Don’t be deceived by the people who call to democracy by decorating it under the name of the truth and give it a religious garment,” it warned. Jihadists the government’s economic challenges, including unemployment, to gain public sympathy. As jihadi assassinations and bombings increased, protesters in 2013 Ennahda for failing to reign in the Sunni militants.

In 2014 elections, Ennahda 20 seats in parliament. It gradually evolved politically and, in 2016, renounced political Islam. “I am a Muslim democrat and they [jihadists] are against democracy,” Rachid Ghannouchi, the Ennahda cofounder. The division among disparate Islamist factions deepened as their goals and tactics increasingly differed. In 2017, separate extremist groups carried out 47 attacks on government and civilian targets across the country. Ennahda made a bit of a political comeback in the 2019 election when it lost 17 seats, but still a plurality vying against more than 20 parties.

Both militant and non-violent Islamists faced major setbacks. In 2021, Ennahda was forced out of politics by President Kais Saied, who banned the party and ordered the arrest of Ghannouchi and other party leaders. The government’s aggressive counterterrorism also eroded jihadist capabilities. Militants launched only four attacks in 2022.

Ennahda

Since it was founded in 1981, Ennahda has evolved from a religious opposition group repressed by the government into one of the most influential forces in Tunisian politics. A pivotal turning point was the 2011 Arab Uprising, which forced an autocratic leader from power and allowed opposition parties such as Ennahda to run for political office. Ennahda won pluralities in the Ի parliamentary elections, and it served as a kingmaker in forming a coalition government with secular parties in. It was the most successful Islamist party in the Middle East, although its seats in parliament diminished with each poll. In 2021, Ennahda was forced out of politics, replicating the experience of other Islamist movements in the region. Its were once again.

Ennahda’s saga is a microcosm of the tensions between Islamist movements and secular political parties across North Africa and the Middle East. As the movement evolved, it even tried to shed its official Islamist identity. “We are Muslim democrats who no longer claim political Islam,” Rashid Ghannouchi, Ennahda’s leader, at the 2016 party congress. Ennahda had historically to secular parties. But Ghannouchi’s speech triggered skepticism among political rivals and foreign observers. “The party’s internal culture is likely to remain Islamist or Islamist-inflected for a long time,” Monica Marks, a scholar of Islamist movements.

In mid-2021, President Saied the prime minister, dissolved parliament, and assumed full executive power amid protests over the government’s economic mismanagement and poor response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Critics called Saied’s autocratic politics a coup, and new protests against him. The divisions between Islamist and secular forces in Tunisia only deepened when Saied appointed a new Ի by decree and later introduced a. Opposition parties, including Ennahda, boycotted the late-December 2022 parliamentary election. They that a boycott was “better than participating in an electoral farce aimed at having the president expand his powers.” In 2023, Ghannouchi was for “plotting against state security” for a video warning of civil war if opposition parties, both Islamist and secular, were banned from politics. He was sentenced to one year in prison.

Ennahda protest against Saied
Ennahda party supporters wave the national flag during a demonstration against President Saied in Tunis on Oct. 15, 2022.

Factoids

  • Participated in three elections – 2011, 2014, and 2019
  • Won 89 seats in 2011, 69 seats in 2014, and 52 in 2019
  • Formed three coalition governments with diverse secular parties
  • Led two of the three governments between 2011 and 2021

Timeline of Ennahda

1981: Rachid Ghannouchi and Abdelfattah Mourou the Movement of Islamic Tendency (MTI) in April. Ghannouchi and his followers were arrested in July.

Young Rachid Ghannouchi
Rachid Ghannouchi

1989:Ѱձ the name Ennahda in a failed bid for legal recognition. It was banned from running from parliament, so Ennahda members ran as independent candidates. They more than 10 percent of the vote, according to government figures, but did not win any seats. The party claimed election fraud, alleging that it had won a greater percentage of the vote.

1991:The government Ennahda and arrested thousands of members. Key leaders went into exile, mainly in Europe. It was marginalized for two decades.

2011:After the Arab uprising the government of President Ben Ali,Ennahda leaders returned to Tunis Ի the party to run for office. It nearly 40 percent of the vote Ի a coalition government with two secular political parties. Hamid Jebali, Ennahda secretary general, became the first post-authoritarian prime minister.

2013: Two secular members of parliament were in separate attacks attributed to Ansar al Sharia. Tens of thousands of people protested in Tunis, which led to the of Jebali’s government.

2014:Tunisia a democratic constitution in January and then held another election in October. Ennahda in second with 28 percent of the vote. Ennahda a governing coalition led by a secular party.

2016: Ennahda its political association with religion. “We are Muslim democrats who no longer claim political Islam,” Ghannouchi declared.

2019:Ennahda Abdelfattah Mourou, its first candidate, for president. Ennahda did not advance to the second-round Ի its support to Kais Saied, who won. Running against more than 20 parties, Ennahda in first in the parliamentary election with only about 20 percent of the vote. It again a coalition with secular parties. Ghannouchi the speaker of parliament, setting the stage for a divided government.

2020:Ghannouchi a no-confidence vote in parliament.

2021:Protests nationwide over economic mismanagement and the government’s poor response to the COVID-19 pandemic. President Saied parliament, declared a state of emergency, and consolidated power. Ghannouchi Saied’s actions. More than 100 Ennahda leaders from the party, accusing Ghannouchi of doing too little.

2023:Saied’s government Ghannouchi as well as many other Ennahda leaders. The government also Ennahda party offices and banned its political meetings.

Militant Groups

Jihadism soared after the 2011 Arab Uprising, which toppled the autocratic government of President Ben Ali. Islamists were from prison and permitted to proselytize openly. Ansar al Sharia was founded in April 2011, just three months after the Arab Uprising. The group spread its message through in-person and online preaching. It exploited public frustration with poor economic conditions Ի public services­–including street cleaning–to gain adherents.

Katiba Uqba bin Nafi, a jihadist movement affiliated with al Qaeda in the Lands of the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), was formed in late 2012. It popular support by appealing to marginalized communities along Tunisia’s border with Algeria. The group conducting assaults against Tunisian security forces in 2013. In 2014, an offshoot of Katiba Uqba bin Nafi allegiance to the Islamic State. The group adopted the name Jund al Khilafah Tunisia, and it also drew support from marginalized communities in northwest Tunisia.

Katiba Uqba bin Nafi and Jund al Khilafah with one another for power and influence, even as they sporadically launched attacks on civilians and security forces. In 2015, a lone-wolf gunman, allegedly inspired by jihadist ideology, on a beachside resort—killing 38 civilians, mainly tourists—in Sousse. “The terrorists have targeted the state, the revolution, and the Islamic principles but we will prevail over them,” Ghannouchisaid at a press briefing after the attack.

Tunisia’s coalition government, which included Ennahda, an ambitious counterterrorism campaign in the northwest Իimproved border security. With U.S. financial, its counterterrorism program succeeded in attacks. In 2017, extremists 47 attacks; in 2022, they were linked to only four operations. But the North African country has not fully eradicated jihadism.

Ansar al Sharia

Ansar al Sharia was in 2011 by Seifallah Ben Hassine, a Tunisian militant who had reportedly with Osama Bin Laden in Afghanistan. He was later captured in Turkey, extradited to Tunisia, and sentenced to 43 years in prison. Ben Hassine was granted amnesty and released from prison after the 2011 Arab Uprising.

Ansar al Sharia a hardline Salafi jihadist ideology and sought to impose sharia in Tunisia. In 2013, a leader, “The state we envision is based on God’s laws. This is not up for discussion.” Ansar al Sharia community service, proselytization, and violence to achieve this goal, and it was an ideological rival to the non-violent Ennahda movement.

Ansar al Sharia historic links to al Qaeda. Between 2011 and 2015, the group sporadic attacks– suicide bombings–against Tunisian security forces. It a protest over a controversial video about the Prophet Mohammed in 2012, in which Tunisians stormed the U.S. Embassy. The group’s activity diminished in 2015, after its founder was in an airstrike.

Katiba Uqba bin Nafi

Katiba Uqba bin Nafi (or the Fighting Group of Uqba ibn Nafi, a general in the seventh century who conquered parts of North Africa) was in December 2012. It affiliated with al Qaeda in the Lands of the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), which is headquartered in Algeria. It primarily in the northwest Kasserine and Kef regions, traditionally areas marginalized by the central government. It recruited in Kasserine, where was twice as high as the national average.

In 2013, Katiba Uqba bin Nafi a on security posts throughout the northwest. The government deployed more forces Ի fighters planning attacks and smuggling weapons. By 2018, Katiba Uqba bin Nafi began to territory and popular support. It has not responsibility for any attack since 2019.

Jund al Khilafah

Jund al Khilafah (or Soldiers of the Caliphate) was in 2014 after fighters of Katiba Uqba bin Nafi defected and declared allegiance to ISIS. It for fighters and territory in northwest Tunisia with Katiba Uqba bin Nafi, while also attacking civilians and security forces. The group targeted and killed civilians to intimidate local populations. It conducted kidnappings and assassinations of both security forces and civilians. In 2018, Tunisia’s counterterrorism campaign limited Jund al Khilafah operations.

Islamic State of Iraq and Syria

Up to 6,000 Tunisians ISIS between 2013 and 2019, with more than 20,000 others to join the largest jihadi movement in the Middle East. the Tunisian government to crackdown on jihadists in 2013. The creation of a caliphate in 2014 to young, well-educated Tunisians, many of whom had grown when the Arab Uprising failed to improve their employment and economic prospects.

Foreign Fighters in Iraq and Syria by Country of Origin (2015)

Source: Official estimates from respective governments. Unofficial estimates are by the Soufan Group, "," December 2015.

Factoids

  • Tunisian jihadists were responsible for the assassination of Ahmad Shah Massoud, an Afghan anti-Taliban leader, in the run-up to 9/11
  • In 2015, a gunman opened fire on a resort in Sousse, killing 38 tourists in the most lethal attack in Tunisian history.
  • Between 3,000 and 7,000 Tunisians joined the Islamic State, the largest percentage of foreign fighters from any country.


Timeline of Militant Groups

Note: This is not a comprehensive list of all jihadist activity in Tunisia.

2000:Seifallah Ben Hassine and Tarek Maaroufi the Tunisian Combat Group, an affiliate of the Salafist Group for Preaching and Combat (GSPC) in Algeria.

2001: Two militants affiliated with the Tunisian Combat Group Ahmad Shah Massoud, leader of the Northern Alliance–an Afghan rival to the Taliban and al Qaeda. Osama bin Laden reportedly organized the murder in the run-up to the 9/11 attacks. The Tunisian Combat Group has been defunct since the mid-2000s, when its two founders were imprisoned in Tunisia and Belgium.

2011:Seifallah Ben Hassine, also known as Abu Ayyad al Tunisi, Ansar al Sharia in April. Tunisia’s democratic transition allowed Ansar al Sharia to openly proselytize.

2012: Protestors stormed the U.S. Embassy in Tunis in September. The Tunisian government Ansar al Sharia. Katiba Uqba bin Nafi was in December.

2013:The Tunisian government Ansar al Sharia for separate attacks that killed two members of parliament in Tunis. In August, the Tunisian government Ansar al Sharia a terrorist organization.

2014:In May, Katiba Uqba bin Nafi the Minister of the Interior’s house in Kasserine, killing four policemen. Jund al Khilafah Tunisia was, after members of Katiba Uqba bin Nafi defected and declared allegiance to ISIS. Ansar al Sharia was for at least 10 attacks against Tunisian security forces.

2015: In March, two militants affiliated with ISIS ontourists at the Bardo Museum in Tunis. They killed 22 during the three-hour siege. In the largest jihadist attack in Tunisia’s history, a gunman 38 tourists in Sousse in June. Tunisia a state of emergency. In July, the U.S. military claimed to have Ben Hassine, the leader of Ansar al Sharia, in northern Mali. In November, an ISIS-affiliated jihadist two Presidential Guard members in a suicide attack.

2016:Tunisian security forces an attack by Tunisian nationals affiliated with ISIS-Libya in March. The operation killed 49 suspected terrorists, 13 security forces, and 7 civilians. The Tunisian Army the leader of Jund al Khilafah in November.

2018:In October, a lone female suicide bomber 20 in the heart of Tunis. No group claimed responsibility.

2019:In June, two ISIS-affiliated jihadists twin suicide attacks in Tunis. One police officer and one security officer were killed.

2020:In March, two suicide bombers killed a police officer and injured six when they their explosives across the street from the U.S. Embassy in Tunis. Jund al Khilafah a shepherd, who was reportedly suspected of collaborating with the government. His body was found in December near the Algerian border.

2021: Tunisian forces the leader of Katiba Uqba bin Nafi.

About the Author

Yochai

Jordanna Yochai

Jordanna Yochai is a research assistant at the U.S. Institute of Peace, which cosponsors "The Islamists" project with ϲ. She is an MA candidate at Columbia University’s School of International & Public Affairs focusing on international security policy.
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