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Democracy in Southeast Asia: Between Discontent and Hope

Cover of report with image of protestors in Thailand during a pro-democracy demonstration.
Cover of report with image of protestors in Thailand during a pro-democracy demonstration.

After previous periods of democratic advances in Southeast Asia, a range of developments in individual countries鈥攊ncluding Myanmar鈥檚 troubled transition, rising authoritarianism in Thailand, and concerns about Indonesia鈥檚 democratic erosion鈥攑aired with broader trends such as a perceived global democratic rollback and intensifying U.S.-China regional competition, have coalesced to create a sense of what might be termed 鈥渄emocratic discontent鈥 in the region. Though this may be just one phase within the broader waxing and waning of democracy in Southeast Asia, this democratic discontent is of great significance not just because of the human costs of rising authoritarianism, but also due to the geopolitical implications of democracy鈥檚 retreat in Southeast Asia would have for strategic trends such as intensifying U.S.-China competition, as well as other intervening events including the global coronavirus pandemic.

This report examines Southeast Asia鈥檚 democratic discontent and its strategic implications for the region. Drawing on empirical data and informed by conversations with officials and practitioners, it argues that Southeast Asia鈥檚 democratic discontent is rooted in several key strategic drivers and creates both opportunities and challenges that need to be properly understood and managed by regional states and external actors, including the United States and like-minded partners.

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About the Author

Prashanth Parameswaran

Prashanth Parameswaran

Global Fellow;
CEO and Founder, ASEAN Wonk Global, and Senior Columnist, The Diplomat
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Indo-Pacific Program

The Indo-Pacific Program promotes policy debate and intellectual discussions on US interests in the Asia-Pacific as well as political, economic, security, and social issues relating to the world鈥檚 most populous and economically dynamic region.聽  Read more